ANALISIS KESTABILAN MODEL SAIIsIrDR PADA PENYEBARAN SARS-CoV-2 DI DKI JAKARTA

NUR AFINI, . (2021) ANALISIS KESTABILAN MODEL SAIIsIrDR PADA PENYEBARAN SARS-CoV-2 DI DKI JAKARTA. Sarjana thesis, UNIVERSITAS NEGERI JAKARTA.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK SARS-CoV-2 adalah virus penyebab dari COVID-19. Provinsi DKI Jakarta merupakan provinsi awal persebaran SARS-CoV-2 di Indonesia. Dalam skripsi ini, disusun model matematika yang menggambarkan model penyebaran SARS-CoV-2 di DKI Jakarta yang modelnya terdiri dari kompartemen suspek, kompartemen asimtomatik, kompartemen simtomatik, kompartemen terinfeksi yang melakukan isolasi mandiri di rumah, kompartemen terinfeksi yang dirawat di RS, kompartemen sembuh, kompartemen kematian yang virusnya masih dapat menularkan. Hasil simulasi penyebaran SARS-CoV-2 di DKI Jakarta menunjukkan bahwa angka reproduksi dasar sebesar 0.01063109563 dimana kurang dari satu artinya penyakit yang disebabkan SARS-CoV-2 dalam waktu yang lama akan menghilang atau tidak menjadi penyakit endemik. Kata Kunci: SARS-CoV-2, model matematika, kestabilan *********** ABSTRACT SARS-CoV-2 is the virus that causes COVID-19. DKI Jakarta Province is the initial province of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Indonesia. In this thesis, a mathematical model is compiled which describes the spread model of SARS-CoV-2 in DKI Jakarta, whose models consist of suspect compartments, asymptomatic compartments, symptomatic compartments, infected compartments that carry out independent isolation at home, infected compartments treated in hospital, recovered compartments, the death compartment where the virus is still infectious. The simulation results of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in DKI Jakarta show that the basic reproduction number is 0.01063109563 where less than one means that the disease caused by SARS-CoV-2 in a long time will disappear or not become an endemic disease. Keywords: SARS-CoV-2, mathematical model, stability

Item Type:	Thesis (Sarjana)
Additional Information:	1). Drs. Sudarwanto, M.Si,DEA. ; 2). Dr. Eti Dwi W., S.Pd.,M.Si.
Subjects:	Sains > Matematika
Divisions:	FMIPA > S1 Matematika
Depositing User:	Users 10604 not found.
Date Deposited:	25 Aug 2021 09:29
Last Modified:	25 Aug 2021 09:29
URI:	http://repository.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/17087

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