PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI REGIONAL, INVESTASI, DAN JUMLAH INDUSTRI MIKRO DAN KECIL TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI PULAU SUMATERA TAHUN 2019 - 2024

FAISAL ALFA RIZKI, . (2026) PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI REGIONAL, INVESTASI, DAN JUMLAH INDUSTRI MIKRO DAN KECIL TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI PULAU SUMATERA TAHUN 2019 - 2024. Sarjana thesis, UNIVERSITAS NEGERI JAKARTA.

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Abstract

Penelitian ini betujuan menganalisis pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi regional, investasi, dan jumlah industri mikro dan kecil terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka di Pulau Sumatera tahun 2019–2024. Penelitian ini dilatarbelakangi oleh masih tingginya tingkat pengangguran terbuka di beberapa provinsi meskipun pertumbuhan ekonomi, investasi, dan jumlah industri mikro dan kecil terus meningkat. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data panel dari 10 provinsi di Pulau Sumatera periode 2019–2024. Data diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan Kementerian Investasi/BKPM serta dianalisis menggunakan regresi data panel dengan Fixed Effect Model (FEM) melalui perangkat lunak EViews 12. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi regional dan jumlah industri mikro dan kecil berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka, sedangkan investasi berpengaruh negatif namun tidak signifikan. Nilai Adjusted R-Square sebesar 0,8666 menunjukkan bahwa 86,66% variasi tingkat pengangguran terbuka dapat dijelaskan oleh ketiga variabel independen, sedangkan 13,34% sisanya dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar model. Hasil penelitian ini diharapkan menjadi masukan bagi pemerintah dalam mendorong penciptaan lapangan kerja melalui investasi yang lebih padat karya dan pengembangan industri mikro dan kecil. ***** This study aims to analyze the effect of regional economic growth, investment, and the number of micro and small industries on the open unemployment rate in Sumatra during the 2019–2024 period. The study was motivated by the persistently high open unemployment rate in several provinces despite the continuous growth of the regional economy, investment, and the number of micro and small industries. This study employed a quantitative approach using panel data from ten provinces in Sumatra during 2019–2024. Secondary data were obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the Ministry of Investment/Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM). The data were analyzed using panel data regression with EViews 12. Based on the Chow Test and Hausman Test, the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) was selected as the most appropriate model. The results show that regional economic growth and the number of micro and small industries have a negative and significant effect on the open unemployment rate, while investment has a negative but insignificant effect. The Adjusted R-squared value of 0.8666 indicates that 86.66% of the variation in the open unemployment rate is explained by the three independent variables, while the remaining 13.34% is explained by other factors outside the model. The findings are expected to provide input for policymakers in promoting labor-intensive investment and strengthening the development of micro and small industries to reduce the open unemployment rate.

Item Type:	Thesis (Sarjana)
Additional Information:	1). Herlitah, S.Sos., M.Ec.Dev; 2). Prof. Dr. Saparuddin Mukhtar, M.Si.
Subjects:	Ilmu Sosial > Teori Ekonomi Ilmu Sosial > Sejarah Ekonomi, Kondisi Ekonomi Ilmu Sosial > Industri, Buruh, Produksi
Divisions:	FE > S1 Pendidikan Ekonomi
Depositing User:	Faisal Alfa Rizki .
Date Deposited:	07 Aug 2026 02:31
Last Modified:	07 Aug 2026 02:31
URI:	http://repository.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/69140

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