ANALISIS DETERMINAN EKSPOR NIKEL DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2014 - 2025

FADIYA KHANSAZALFA, . (2026) ANALISIS DETERMINAN EKSPOR NIKEL DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2014 - 2025. Sarjana thesis, UNIVERSITAS NEGERI JAKARTA.

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Abstract

Fadiya Khansazalfa. Analisis Determinan Ekspor Nikel di Indonesia periode 2014 – 2025. SKRIPSI. Jakarta: Program Studi Pendidikan Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Negeri Jakarta. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh barang modal (diukur melalui impor mesin pertambangan), nilai tukar Rupiah, dan kebijakan pelarangan ekspor bijih nikel terhadap nilai ekspor nikel Indonesia periode 2014–2025. Pendekatan yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah kuantitatif dengan data sekunder berjenis time series kuartalan (N = 48). Teknik analisis data diestimasi menggunakan model Regresi Linear Berganda dengan penanganan autokorelasi melalui koreksi Newey-West Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent (HAC). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial, variabel nilai tukar Rupiah dan kebijakan pelarangan ekspor bijih nikel berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor nikel Indonesia. Sebaliknya, variabel barang modal tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor nikel. Secara simultan, ketiga variabel independen tersebut berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ekspor nikel dengan kontribusi penjelas (R^{2}) sebesar 85,5%. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa daya saing harga di pasar internasional serta konsistensi regulasi hilirisasi domestik memegang peranan utama dalam mendorong kinerja ekspor nikel nasional, sementara impor mesin pertambangan jangka pendek belum memberikan dampak langsung yang nyata. Kata Kunci: Ekspor Nikel, Barang Modal, Nilai Tukar, Kebijakan Larangan Ekspor, Hilirisasi. *****Fadiya Khansazalfa. Analysis Of The Determinants Of Indonesia's Nickel Exports (2014–2025). UNDERGRADUATE THESIS. Jakarta: Economics Education Study Program, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Jakarta. This study aims to analyze the effect of capital goods (proxied by mining machinery imports), the Rupiah exchange rate, and the nickel ore export ban policy on Indonesia's nickel export value for the 2014–2025 period. A quantitative approach was employed using quarterly time-series secondary data (N = 48). Data analysis was performed using Multiple Linear Regression with Newey-West Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent (HAC) correction to address autocorrelation issues. The partial results indicate that the Rupiah exchange rate and the nickel ore export ban policy have a positive and significant effect on Indonesia's nickel export value. Conversely, capital goods do not have a significant effect on nickel exports. Simultaneously, all three independent variables significantly affect nickel exports with a coefficient of determination (R^{2}) of 85.5%. These findings suggest that international price competitiveness and consistent domestic downstreaming policies are the primary drivers of national nickel export performance, whereas short-term imports of mining machinery do not show a direct impact. Keywords: Nickel Exports, Capital Goods, Exchange Rate, Export Ban Policy, Downstreaming.

Item Type:	Thesis (Sarjana)
Additional Information:	1. Dr. Karuniana Dianata A. S., S.IP., M.E 2. Dicky Iranto, SE., M.SE
Subjects:	Ilmu Sosial > Industri, Buruh, Produksi > Pendidikan Ekonomi
Divisions:	FE > S1 Pendidikan Ekonomi
Depositing User:	Fadiya Khansazalfa .
Date Deposited:	10 Aug 2026 04:43
Last Modified:	10 Aug 2026 04:43
URI:	http://repository.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/69234

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