PENGARUH LEVERAGE, FREE CASH FLOW, LAGGED DIVIDEND, DAN RISIKO BISNIS TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DIVIDEN PADA PERUSAHAAN JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX 70 (JII70) PERIODE 2019-2023

THAHARAH AMANDA, . (2025) PENGARUH LEVERAGE, FREE CASH FLOW, LAGGED DIVIDEND, DAN RISIKO BISNIS TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DIVIDEN PADA PERUSAHAAN JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX 70 (JII70) PERIODE 2019-2023. Sarjana thesis, UNIVERSITAS NEGERI JAKARTA.

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh leverage, free cash flow, lagged dividend, dan risiko bisnis terhadap kebijakan dividen. Metode yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan data sekunder dari laporan tahunan dan laporan keuangan perusahaan yang konsisten tercatat dalam Jakarta Islamic Index 70 (JII70) selama periode 2019-2023. Sampel terdiri dari 17 perusahaan dengan total 85 observasi, namun setelah menghilangkan outlier, jumlah observasi menjadi 82. Variabel dependen adalah kebijakan dividen yang diproksi dengan Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), sedangkan variabel independennya meliputi leverage (Debt to Equity Ratio/DER), free cash flow (rumus FCF), lagged dividend (DPRt-1), dan risiko bisnis (Basic Earning Power Ratio/BEPR). Analisis data mencakup statistik deskriptif, uji pemilihan model regresi data panel, uji asumsi klasik, regresi data panel, dan uji hipotesis menggunakan software EViews 12. Model terbaik untuk penelitian ini adalah Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Hasil penelitian memperlihatkan bahwa leverage berpengaruh negatif terhadap kebijakan dividen, free cash flow berpengaruh positif terhadap kebijakan dividen, dan lagged dividend berpengaruh positif terhadap kebijakan dividen, mendukung hipotesis dan sejalan dengan teori keagenan. Sementara itu, hasil risiko bisnis berpengaruh positif terhadap kebijakan dividen tidak mendukung hipotesis dan tidak sejalan dengan teori keagenan. Implikasi ini mendorong pihak berkepentingan untuk berkolaborasi dalam mengimplementasikan dan memperoleh kebijakan dividen yang optimal. Penelitian berikutnya direkomendasikan untuk memperluas sampel, periode pengamatan, serta menambahkan variabel lain. *****This study aims to examine the effect of leverage, free cash flow, lagged dividend, and business risk on dividend policy. The method used is quantitative with secondary data from annual reports and financial reports of companies that are consistently listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index 70 (JII70) during the period 2019-2023. The sample consists of 17 companies with a total of 85 observations, but after removing outliers, the number of observations becomes 82. The dependent variable is dividend policy proxied by the Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), while the independent variables include leverage (Debt to Equity Ratio/DER), free cash flow (FCF formula), lagged dividend (DPRt-1), and business risk (Basic Earning Power Ratio/BEPR). Data analysis includes descriptive statistics, panel data regression model selection tests, classical assumption tests, panel data regression, and hypothesis testing using EViews 12 software. The best model for this study is the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results of the study show that leverage has a negative effect on dividend policy, free cash flow has a positive effect on dividend policy, and lagged dividend has a positive effect on dividend policy, supporting the hypothesis and in line with agency theory. Meanwhile, the results of business risk have a positive effect on dividend policy, not supporting the hypothesis and not in line with agency theory. This implication encourages stakeholders to collaborate in implementing and obtaining optimal dividend policies. Further study is recommended to expand the sample, observation period, and add other variables.

Item Type: Thesis (Sarjana)
Additional Information: 1). Unggul Purwohedi, S.E., M.Si., Ph.D., CMA. ; 2). Adam Zakaria, S.E., M.Si., Ph.D., Ak., CA., CFrA., QIA., CRP.
Subjects: Ilmu Sosial > Perdagangan, e-commerce > Akuntansi
Ilmu Sosial > Keuangan
Manajemen > Manajemen , Business
Divisions: FE > S1 Akuntansi
Depositing User: Thaharah Amanda .
Date Deposited: 08 Jul 2025 01:25
Last Modified: 08 Jul 2025 01:25
URI: http://repository.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/56560

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