DIMAS TRI NUGRAHA, . (2026) ANALISIS BESAR CADANGAN KLAIM ASURANSI DENGAN PENYESUAIAN INFLASI MENGGUNAKAN METODE BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON DAN CAPE COD. Sarjana thesis, UNIVERSITAS NEGERI JAKARTA.
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Abstract
Adanya jeda waktu antara penerimaan premi dan pembayaran klaim menyebabkan perusahaan asuransi perlu mengestimasi cadangan klaim. Selain itu, inflasi turut memengaruhi besarnya nilai klaim dari waktu ke waktu sehingga perlu dipertimbangkan dalam proses estimasi. Berbagai metode dapat digunakan untuk mengestimasi cadangan klaim, di antaranya metode Bornhuetter–Ferguson dan Cape Cod. Skripsi ini membahas estimasi cadangan klaim pada perusahaan QBE Insurance Malaysia pada periode 2017–2021. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan metode Bornhuetter–Ferguson menghasilkan estimasi cadangan klaim sebesar RM 1.523.245.334 dengan RMSE sebesar RM 35.619.757 dan MAPE sebesar 6,77%, sedangkan metode Cape Cod menghasilkan estimasi cadangan klaim sebesar RM 1.539.372.345 dengan RMSE sebesar RM 51.567.181 dan MAPE sebesar 13,45%. Metode Bornhuetter–Ferguson menghasilkan estimasi yang lebih akurat dalam mengestimasi cadangan klaim asuransi dengan penyesuaian inflasi. ***** The time lag between the receipt of premium income and the payment of claims requires insurance companies to estimate claim reserves. In addition, inflation affects the amount of claim payments over time and therefore should be taken into account in the estimation process. Various methods can be used to estimate claim reserves, including the Bornhuetter–Ferguson and Cape Cod methods. This undergraduate thesis discusses the estimation of claim reserves for QBE Insurance Malaysia during the 2017–2021 period. The results show that the Bornhuetter–Ferguson method produced an estimated claim reserve of RM 1,523,245,334 with an RMSE of RM 35,619,757 and a MAPE of 6.77%, whereas the Cape Cod method produced an estimated claim reserve of RM 1,539,372,345 with an RMSE of RM 51,567,181 and a MAPE of 13.45%. The Bornhuetter–Ferguson method provided more accurate estimates in estimating insurance claim reserves with inflation adjustment.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Sarjana) |
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| Additional Information: | 1). Drs. Sudarwanto, M.Si., D.E.A. ; 2). Dr. Eti Dwi Wiraningsih, M.Si. |
| Subjects: | Sains > Matematika |
| Divisions: | FMIPA > S1 Matematika |
| Depositing User: | Dimas Tri Nugraha . |
| Date Deposited: | 28 Aug 2026 04:15 |
| Last Modified: | 28 Aug 2026 04:15 |
| URI: | http://repository.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/73382 |
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